All That Glitters Can Be Part of the Gold
Economic growth is often viewed through the familiar indicators of GDP, investment, employment, inflation, taxation and other officially measured parameters. These are essential for economic policy. Yet, there may be another part of the economic story that is visible all around us but not always adequately captured in the conventional framework.
The crowded markets, malls, hotels and restaurants, expanding travel and tourism, construction activity, transport services, health and senior citizens services, small businesses, household enterprises of all kinds, and innumerable self-employed persons all represent economic activity. Much of this activity may lie outside the fully formal economy or somewhere between the formal and informal sectors. This raises a simple question: Are we seeing the entire economy, or only that part of it which our existing systems are able to measure and classify?
Recognising the economic activity that already exists
The informal economy should not automatically be regarded as an undesirable economy waiting to be formalised. A considerable part of it represents genuine production, services, employment, entrepreneurship, consumption and income generation. A street vendor, small trader, artisan, domestic service provider, repair worker, transport operator, small manufacturer or self-employed professional may be conducting a perfectly productive economic activity even though the activity may not fit neatly into the formal framework.
There is also a substantial space between the formal and informal economies. An individual or enterprise may have a bank account, use digital payments, pay some taxes, employ workers informally, operate partly in cash and partly through banking channels, and remain only partially visible to the formal system. The economic reality is therefore much more fluid than a simple formal-versus-informal classification suggests. The first requirement is consequently recognition. We should recognise productive economic activity wherever it takes place and understand its contribution to the economy before deciding how it should be brought within the formal framework.
Measuring what we actually see
Recognition must be followed by better measurement. Economic statistics are indispensable for policymaking. But if significant economic activity remains inadequately captured, policymakers may not obtain the complete picture of income generation, employment, purchasing power, savings, consumption and wealth distribution. For example, ordinary citizens can observe strong demand in markets, restaurants, hotels, transport and tourism, health services, even during periods when inflation is high. Such observations do not by themselves prove that official economic statistics are wrong. They do, however, raise legitimate questions about whether all dimensions of economic activity and purchasing power are being adequately captured.
There is therefore a case for continuously examining how economic data are compiled.The objective should be to understand:
- where income is being generated;
- where employment and self-employment are taking place;
- how money is circulating;
- how much economic activity remains outside formal reporting;
- what lies between the formal and informal sectors;
- why some activities remain outside the formal system; and
- how much of the apparent informality is legitimate economic activity and how much represents tax evasion or unlawful transactions.
Better information would lead to better policy.
From formalisation to integration
The answer need not be to force every informal activity immediately into a rigid formal structure.A more practical approach could be progressive integration. Productive informal enterprises and individuals should gradually be enabled to enter the mainstream through easier registration, affordable finance, digital tools, insurance, social security, skills, technology, market access and appropriate taxation. The formal economy, the informal economy and the space between them could progressively become part of one integrated economic system. The wide inequality and the trickle down effect seen on a very large scale can perhaps be an area for deep thought to fix some of the gaps between formal and informal economy. The objective should be to make formalisation beneficial rather than merely compulsory.
When people see tangible benefits from becoming more visible—better access to credit, markets, technology, protection and opportunities—compliance is more likely to become voluntary and sustainable. The ultimate objective should be that the distinction between formal and informal gradually becomes less important because productive economic activity itself becomes increasingly integrated.
Informal does not mean illegal
This distinction is fundamental. Informal economic activity and illegal economic activity are not synonymous. An activity may be informal because of its size, nature, documentation, registration status or operating practices. That does not automatically make it unlawful. At the same time, informal channels can be used for tax evasion, concealment of income, generation and circulation of black money and other illegal activities. These cannot be ignored. Recognising the economic contribution of the informal sector must therefore never be interpreted as legitimising black money or tax evasion.
The approach should be more intelligent: identify legitimate economic activity, bring it progressively into the mainstream, and simultaneously strengthen the ability of the State to identify and prevent unlawful activity. Black money and illegal activity cannot realistically be eliminated overnight. But neither can their existence be accepted as a permanent feature of the economy. The objective should be gradual capture, prevention and reduction through better information, technology, enforcement, simpler systems and greater voluntary compliance. The support of Artificial Intelligence would be of immense help in the matter.
Taxation and compliance
Taxation is another important part of this transition. If taxation, compliance procedures and regulatory requirements become excessively burdensome, some economic activity may have an incentive to remain outside the formal framework. This does not justify evasion. It suggests that tax policy and compliance policy must work together. Decentralised approach in taxation with centralised consolidation of information using Technology and AI would perhaps make the system workable and effective. A wider tax base, reasonable rates, simpler procedures, better services and effective enforcement can create an environment in which compliance becomes easier and more worthwhile. The objective should be to move progressively from a system that primarily seeks to detect non-compliance after it occurs to one that makes compliance simpler, more natural and more rewarding.
Digitalisation: opportunity, not the whole answer
The growth of digital payments and financial technology has greatly increased the visibility of economic transactions. But digitalisation alone cannot provide a complete picture of the economy. A transaction becoming digital does not automatically mean that the underlying economic activity has become fully formal. What matters is the entire economic chain—income, employment, production, ownership, taxation, savings, investment and consumption. Digitalisation should therefore be treated as an important instrument for integration and transparency, rather than as a substitute for understanding the economy itself.
Looking beyond the compartments
Perhaps the time has come to look at the economy less as three separate compartments—formal, informal and something in between—and more as a continuum of economic activity. The important question is not merely: “Is this formal or informal?” It should also be: "What economic value is being created, who is creating it, how is it being measured, and how can that productive activity be brought into the mainstream without destroying its viability?” Such an approach can help policymakers see economic reality more clearly with substantial increase in the GDP growth. It can also help millions of small entrepreneurs, workers and self-employed persons move gradually from vulnerability towards greater security, productivity and opportunity.
From visibility to integration
The journey could therefore be: Recognition → Better Measurement → Integration → Greater Productivity → Wider Employment and Income → Larger Tax Base → Greater Compliance → Inclusive Growth At the same time, there should be a parallel journey: Better Information → Identification of Illegal Activity → Prevention of Tax Evasion and Black Money → Effective Enforcement → Greater Trust in the System
These two processes need not conflict. In fact, they can reinforce each other. A larger and more productive formal economy provides greater visibility. Greater visibility can improve compliance. Better compliance can support lower distortions and a broader tax base. Greater productivity and opportunity can, in turn, encourage more economic activity to enter the mainstream.
All that glitters can be part of the gold
The informal economy should therefore not be looked at merely as a problem to be solved. Some of what lies outside the formal framework may already be economic gold waiting to be recognised, measured and integrated. The idea is not to glorify informality. Nor is it to legitimise black money, tax evasion or illegal activity. The objective is to distinguish between the two, understand the economic reality on the ground, protect productive activity and progressively bring it into the mainstream. India's aspiration for a developed economy requires not merely higher growth but a more complete understanding of the economic strength of its people. If the formal economy represents the visible structure, the informal economy and the space between the two may contain considerable productive strength that has yet to be fully recognised.
All that glitters may not be gold. But some of what glitters may indeed be part of the gold. The task before us is to identify it, measure it, integrate it and allow it to contribute openly and productively to the nation's growth. GDP growth cannot be at 7.8% . It should be far more than this if all the services and products from the informal sectors get reflected and the compilation of information is made fool proof
That is not merely formalisation. It is economic integration to make the dream of our PM's Viksit Bharath a reality.
Samastha Loka Sukhino Bhavanthu.
T V G Krishnan
(personal Views)
( This article is vetted with the help of AI )