Food supply and Money supply are two different aspects

 Economic Growth also helps inflation to come down is simply ignored by the RBI. The rigidity with which the rate of interest is linked to inflation and that too CPI index is irrational (although highly desirable) and it is akin to chasing a mirage in the present economic scenario. Besides, RBI by sticking on its policy rates only to inflation fails to comply with its statutory requirements ( well spelt out in the preamble of the RBI Act, 1934) of ensuring growth with price stability. Why RBI does not want to  recognise that indian economy is way behind advanced economies to adhere to only inflation targeting through its monetary policy is a mystery .Indian economy has its own uniqueness wherein, the banks have social responsibilities , the government has a huge burden to lift the masses from poverty through various schemes injecting money, the economy itself has fundamental issues of fiscal deficit thanks to its heavy dependence on imports of certain essential items like oil, coal etc to run the industries, requiring heavy dose of bank finance . Besides, the presence of informal economy also upsets all the official moves to have a smooth run for the economy.  Unless RBI takes a holistic view of things which was all along the practice followed by it since its inception in 1935 and making the  banking sytem support the growth with provision of adequate credit at reasonable cost, the growth may not take place.  RBI's stance and support of the economy keeping   a sound and healthy banking system has been well acknowledged and well recognised all over the world.It has withstood all imaginable pressures with ease and dignity and supported the Government keeping its restricted autonomy in tact. The economy cannot be expected to do better  without money. As credit is the life blood of commerce and in India only the banking system can provide this vital element RBI has a key role in ensuring that the transmission off credit at reasonable cost is made availble at appropriate time.This has to be made known to RBI by veteran journalists through their write ups is something unfortunate.The article carries lot of message and still RBI wants to be adamant on its undiplomatic and dear monetary policy, its supermacy may be at risk.RBI has never failed and it  should not fail in its responsibilities to the nation and its masses.Economic Growth with price Stabilty can take care of both.Shortage of food supplies in the market cannot be tackled with containment of Money supply is what RBI has to realise and proceed.

Dr.T.V.Gopalakrishnan

(Modified version of this is published as comment in Times of India in response to an article by Prem Shankar Jha on 2oth Oct,2014). 

Find Solution

This refers to the editorial, “Taking cover” (October 15).The issue of unhedged exposure of corporates and others comes up every now and then without arriving at any tangible solution.

The RBI has been flagging this for years now, but corporates, particularly those having exports, gamble on this as they perhaps prefer to keep the forex exposure unhedged to take advantage of the rupee depreciation. Further, the accounting system in vogue does not insist on the need to make transparent the unhedged exposure and the attendant risks.

The major reason for many to avoid hedging may be due to lack of expert knowledge and guidance. As rightly suggested, the Government in consultation with SEBI and the RBI has to take concrete measures to take care of this and make it transparent in the published balance sheet. Banks also need to develop the required expertise to guide their customers in the matter.

TV Gopalakrishnan

(This letter appeared in Business Line dated 16/10/14),

RBI is becoming a non entity.

The way the Government wants to fix the inflation target by the Government, RBI will be a non entity after a few years. The proposed Monetary policy Committee will have some Government officials or some parliamentarians and Governor will only be a figurehead. With the implementation of other recommendations of the FSLRC, RBI's presence or absence in the economy will not make much of difference. Politicians will always have the Final word is what is being proved now.So far, the RBI Governors somehow withstood the pressures of the Govrnment and did not yield much. Even Dr Subbarao the former Governor had to fight a fierce battle to maintain RBI's autonomy and this stance has been getting a final go bye.

Dr.T.V.Gopalakrishnan

(This comment has been given in ET in response to a news report The Parliament will decide the Inflation Target for RBI that appeared on 8/10/2014).

Is RBI pragmatic in it's thinking?

 The measures announced by the RBI in its recent policy review are a clear indication that it is not convinced of the measures on the part of the government to contain food inflation and the inflation will continue to remain high till March 2016 without giving any scope for adjustment of policy rates. While the arguments put forward by the RBI sound academically reasonable and acceptable perhaps but how long it can ignore its other statutory responsibility of supporting the economic growth is an issue to be sorted out by the Government. Unfortunately the understanding between the Government and RBI which had historically,  had a mutually reinforcing influence in deciding the fiscal and monetary policies had been becoming the thing of the past does not augur well for the economy is what is to be understood both by the RBI and the Government. The other regulatory steps particularly the reduction of the HTM category of banks’ investments and bringing in Urban Cooperative banks under LAF are welcome to strengthen the market. However, the haste with which the RBI plans to issue licenses to have Payment and Small banks in the field is not very convincing taking into consideration the not so encouraging performance of Local Area banks, Regional Rural banks, some of the old generation small banks and cooperative banks unless RBI wants one more head ache to add on to its Financial Stability Issues. More Non Performing Banks are desirable along with ever increasing Non Performing Assets of banks is what RBI has to seriously consider.

T.V.Gopalakrishna    

No understanding between the RBI and the Govt

Well analysed and well presented. The approach of RBI targeting inflation control ignoring the growth aspect completely is at variance with the statury responsibilities entrusted in terms of the RBI act. The historical understanding between the RBI and the Government to have an economic policy consisting of Fiscal policy of the Government and monetary policy of the RBI with mutually reinforcing measures to ensure economic growth with price stability and monetary and financial stability seems to have been  gradually given a go bye and both the government and RBi are moving on different directions the way both function. RBI's intentions to control inflation and having an inflation target are appreciable, but the measures taken by it alone without any understanding with the Government and without having an ideal economic environment will not lead to anywhere is what needs to be realised. From this angle,the article raises some valid observations and RBI will have to make it clear to the market the basis for its present approach ignoring the statutory provisions and keeping the inflation targeting which has only limited bearing of the monetary policy in reality.

Dr.T.V.Gopalakrishnan

(this comment is in response to an Article RBI in search of a theory that appeared in The Mint dated 30/9/14).