Make Capital
out of Capital Market. Do not allow Dalal Street go the Wall Street Way
The capital
market which has undergone sea changes under the initiative of SEBI over a
period has been unfortunately turning out to be a den for speculation and
gambling keeping away the retailers from investing and helping the capital
formation very vitally needed for reviving the sagging economy. The financial
savings of the households have, of late, been registering a sharp decline and
the investments in physical assets have been on the increase contributing
nothing to the GDP growth. For want of adequate resources, the development of
infrastructure has lagged behind and the confidence in the whole gamut of
savings, investment and production has shattered. The
household savings in financial assets have come down sharply over a period.
Retailers’ investment in capital market is insignificant if not negligible. The trend in resources mobilized over a three year period by the
Corporate Sector can be gauged from the following table.
Total Resources
mobilized by Corporate Sector Amount in Rs crores)
Year
|
Equity Issues
|
Debt Issues
|
Total Resources
|
2010-2011
|
1,14,466
|
2,28,236
|
3,42,702
|
2011-2012
|
40,729
|
2,96,868
|
3,37,597
|
2012-2013
|
78,408
|
3,78,444
|
4,56,852
|
2013-2014
|
73,394
|
3,18,436
|
3,91,830
|
Source: SEBI
bulletin May 2014
The
capital market which should reflect the strength of the economy in fact
reflects predominantly the speculative tendencies based on the sentiments of a
few market participants. Unfortunately the FIIS have more say in the capital
market than the domestic players and they dictate the terms and conditions. The
fundamentals of the economy which should be the yardstick to influence the market
have been relegated to the background and the movement of indices is only
reflective of movement of inflows of speculative funds of FIIS. The macro
economic factors like the fiscal deficit, current account deficit, the GDP
growth, inflation, value of the rupee, industrial and agricultural production
etc are all weak and by any stretch of imagination one cannot explain as to how the market indices are getting
strong day by day other than by the speculative instincts. No doubt the change
of the non performing Government and expectation of high Governance standards
from the new set up partly account for rise in index, but it is too early to
sit on judgment on Government's performance. This speculative trend seen in the
capital market needs to be reversed and this is possible only if domestic
institutions and corporates strengthen their resource base by tapping the
domestic savings through attractive financial products including equities and
bonds.
It is the best
opportune moment for the new government to come out with some innovative ideas
and facilities to enhance, convert and divert the household savings into
investments in capital market. The investments in shares through IPOs have
turned out to be a very bad experience for retailers during the last decade
because of high and greedy pricing of the issues and they have burnt their
fingers forcing them to go out of the market and seeking greener pastures
elsewhere. Persisting high inflation has added fuel to fire. Gold and real
estate have attracted huge investments over a period depleting the savings in
banks and investments all around. The Rajiv Gandhi equity investment scheme
introduced by the then Government offering tax exemption up to Rs 50000
investments in equity to attract retailers into the capital market has not gone
well with the investors and this needs to be scrapped totally or modified
drastically. Expecting people in small cities and suburbs who have absolutely
no knowledge of shares and for whom having a bank account itself is a herculean
task in these days of banks' insistence of KYC without understanding its'
relevance, to invest in equities and that too through a demat account which is
compulsory to hold the equity investment is simply unrealistic and if not
totally utopian. When the Financial Inclusion particularly banking inclusion
has not taken off very well, the expectation of the Government to attract
savers particularly those from middle income and lower income class to equity
market is unintelligible and unrealistic.
To make the
capital market a place for large savings, SEBI has to necessarily ensure that
the share of retailers get augmented considerably keeping an obligatory minimum
of 25% of the paid up capital of all listed companies. The companies that have
exceeded this minimum and have been having more than 50% should get some special recognition from the Government and incentives. Till the Companies
reach 25% of retail ownership, there should not be any STT for first time
buyers of shares of these companies. To avoid undue speculation in the market,
the SEBI can think of introducing loyalty bonus for retention of shares by
individuals for more than a prescribed minimum period. STT can also be suitably
modified to prevent speculation both on buying and selling. STT can be
different for FIIS and domestic players in the market. Similarly STT can also
vary for institutions and individuals. Different slabs can also be thought of
for levying STT on purchases and sales. With proper modification and
intelligent marketing, this can emerge as a regulatory tool to attract small
savers to capital market, contain speculation in the market, mobilize maximum
savings towards capital formation and enhance optimum revenues to the Government.
Corporates
declaring dividends and bonus shares at regular intervals need to be
incentivized. Similarly Corporates raising resources from rural and semi urban
areas can also be given some tax concessions or some incentives. This will give
a boost to tap household savings from these places. Domestic financial and
other institutions investing in capital market and raising resources from
capital market have to be facilitated with suitable products and processes to get
in and get out of the market and there should be in place effective regulation
and supervision with adequate checks and balances to prevent frauds and
irregularities.
The capital market
is the best source of raising resources for the Government at this critical
juncture and the money locked in the form of gold, real estate, hard cash and
otherwise also can be easily tapped
with proper reforms in the form of policies, products and processes.
Readiness on the part of the authorities is all that matters. A healthy and
vibrant capital market supported by sound and proactive administration,
regulation and supervision can change the economy into a most promising and
prosperous one fulfilling the aspirations of the new Government and the people
of this great nation.
Dr.T.V.Gopalakrishnan
(This article has been sent to MOF for consideration in the ensuing budget).